20100506

Statistics

Since we have entered the "Propaganda Age," there seems to be an increasing distrust of published statements and experts in general, and statistics specifically.  I think that this is deplorable, so I would like to go on record objecting to this trend.  It is true that there are many dishonest ways to gather information and misleading ways to present it, however that is only half the story.  For every deceptive presentation of data, there is an honest interpretation that can refute it once all the facts are known.  If you accept the existence of objective reality, and the consistency of rational thought, anyway (so my arguments won't reach the true laissez-faire existentialists, but what can?).  If you accept objective reality, there is one set of data, and if you have enough knowledge you can interpret it, or at least be swayed by someone who presents a superior interpretation.  So what you should do is verify statistics, not simply doubt all of them.  Check the sources, find credible interpretations, and make yourself smarter if needs be (it can't hurt).

Because in all honesty, as much as the producers of propaganda like to slant statistics, they would love it if everyone stopped believing in them altogether.  Once you give up your right to rational thought and argument, all you have left are your innate emotional prejudices and opinions, which are way easier to manipulate (research autobiographical advertising and cognitive dissonance for starters).

So remember to Think!

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